Showing posts with label Tom Paton. Show all posts
Showing posts with label Tom Paton. Show all posts

Wednesday, 18 January 2012

Catching Up on Some Numbers

Since we've started looking at career Point Allocation records for some players, we should catch up with the players previously discussed here who haven't had their records published. Don't forget to refer to this post to get an idea of the scale of TPAK rates: above 5.0 are the superstars, above 4.0 are the elite players. Zero is defined as a replacement-level player (in terms of the modern NHL).

Tom Paton

SeasonClubLeaguePositionGPMINOPDPPPTPATPAK
1885Montreal Winged WheelersMWCG8048000.020.20.020.24.21
1886Montreal Winged WheelersMHTG6538710.03.30.03.30.85
1887Montreal Winged WheelersAHACG2212670.0-1.60.0-1.6-1.26
1888Montreal Winged WheelersAHACG8048000.022.70.022.74.73
1889Montreal Winged WheelersAHACG8048000.024.90.024.95.19
1890Montreal Winged WheelersAHACG8048000.022.20.022.24.63
1891Montreal Winged WheelersAHACG7042000.020.80.020.84.95
1892Montreal Winged WheelersAHACG6438400.013.90.013.93.62
1893Montreal Winged WheelersAHACG8048000.022.10.022.14.60
Career621371780.0148.50.0148.53.99

James Stewart

SeasonClubLeaguePositionGPMINOPDPPPTPATPAK
1884Montreal CrystalsMWC127675-0.94.40.03.55.19
1885Montreal CrystalsMWC127675-0.50.60.00.10.15
1886Montreal CrystalsMHT1601500-1.38.30.07.04.67
1887Montreal Winged WheelersAHAC1531325-0.84.70.03.92.94
1888Montreal Winged WheelersAHAC1802000-1.610.20.08.64.30
1889Montreal Winged WheelersAHAC1802000-0.38.60.08.34.15
1890Montreal Winged WheelersAHAC1802000-1.18.30.07.23.60
1891Montreal Winged WheelersAHAC18020000.011.20.011.25.60
1892Montreal Winged WheelersAHAC1481200-0.31.70.01.41.17
1893Montreal Winged WheelersAHAC17017500.27.90.08.14.63
1894Montreal Winged WheelersAHAC1328000.53.80.04.35.38
Career63715925-6.169.70.063.63.99

Allan Cameron

SeasonClubLeaguePositionGPMINOPDPPPTPATPAK
1885Montreal CrystalsMWC927540-0.9-0.80.0-1.7-3.15
1886Montreal CrystalsMHT2802000-1.09.60.08.64.30
1887Montreal Winged WheelersAHAC2531325-0.24.40.04.23.17
1888Montreal Winged WheelersAHAC2571425-1.85.70.03.92.74
1889Montreal Winged WheelersAHAC2691725-0.57.80.07.34.23
1890Montreal Winged WheelersAHAC27017501.45.50.06.93.94
1891Montreal Winged WheelersAHAC26015001.66.90.08.55.67
1892Montreal Winged WheelersAHAC216400-0.10.60.00.51.25
1893Montreal Winged WheelersAHAC28020000.98.40.09.34.65
1894Montreal Winged WheelersAHAC15614000.27.20.07.45.29
1895Montreal Winged WheelersAHAC21701750-0.45.70.05.33.03
Career63815815-0.861.00.060.23.81


Jack Campbell

SeasonClubLeaguePositionGPMINOPDPPPTPATPAK
1884Montreal WanderersMWC927540-1.0-0.40.0-1.4-2.59
1885Montreal FootballersMWC227675-0.90.50.0-0.4-0.59
1887Montreal VictoriasAHAC28020004.25.40.09.64.80
1888Montreal VictoriasAHAC28020009.12.80.011.95.95
1889Montreal VictoriasAHAC2641600-0.23.00.02.81.75
1890Montreal VictoriasAHAC28020001.44.70.06.13.05
1891Montreal VictoriasAHAC220500-0.30.40.00.10.20
Career378931512.316.40.028.73.08

Horace Gaul

SeasonClubLeaguePositionGPMINOPDPPPTPATPAK
1905Ottawa SenatorsFAHL5102000.80.00.00.84.00
1906Brooklyn SkatersAAHL9102000.0-0.10.0-0.1-0.50
1907Pittsburgh HCIHL76012001.02.0-0.52.52.08
1908Renfrew Creamery KingsUOVHL78016001.01.8-0.22.61.63
1908Brockville HCFAHL7204001.7-0.30.01.43.50
1909Haileybury MinersTPHL78016001.70.5-0.91.30.81
1909Pittsburgh DuquesnesWPHL727540-0.6-0.20.0-0.8-1.48
1910Haileybury MinersNHA78016004.61.2-0.85.03.13
1911Berlin DutchmenOPHL425500-0.40.00.0-0.4-0.80
1911Ottawa SenatorsNHA515300-0.90.9-0.2-0.2-0.67
1912New Glasgow CubsMPHA7711420-0.22.7-0.52.01.41
1913Toronto TecumsehsNHA76813600.82.1-0.72.21.62
Career546109209.510.6-3.816.31.49

Harry Smith

SeasonClubLeaguePositionGPMINOPDPPPTPATPAK
1905Smiths Falls Mic-MacsOHA580160010.0-1.8-0.87.44.63
1906Ottawa SenatorsECAHA66412808.5-0.2-0.67.76.02
1907Ottawa SenatorsECAHA57214404.90.4-1.04.32.99
1908Pittsburgh BankersWPHL567134010.0-1.40.08.66.42
1909Haileybury MinersTPHL58016007.4-0.8-0.36.33.94
1909Pittsburgh BankersWPHL5377402.9-0.40.02.53.38
1909Montreal WanderersECHA5275402.00.5-0.42.13.89
1910Cobalt Silver KingsNHA75310605.4-0.2-0.44.84.53
1910Haileybury MinersNHA5204000.90.30.01.23.00
1911Waterloo ColtsOPHL56112201.1-0.20.00.90.74
1912Schreiber ColtsNOHL656513007.8-0.7-0.46.75.15
1913Toronto TecumsehsNHA56012002.61.0-0.63.02.50
1914Ottawa SenatorsNHA5122400.40.4-0.20.62.50
Career6981396063.9-3.1-4.756.14.02

Monday, 9 January 2012

Hall of Famers from the Earliest Years

In a previous post I wrote that players from the earliest days of organized hockey have largely been left out of the Hall of Fame, not because they are undeserving, but because those voting players into the Hall were unfamiliar with them. The 1890s (and before) have more to offer than Graham Drinkwater, Dan Bain and Mike Grant.

This is one issue that historical Point Allocation results can really help us address. We can use Point Allocation records to develop a career rating system, to determine who likely merits induction into the Hall of Fame. There's no way to develop a definitive answer, of course. On top of the flaws inherent in numerical player valuation systems such as Point Allocation, there's also the balance between peak value and career value to be considered. What's better: having a few truly exceptional seasons, or having a lengthy career full of merely very good seasons? There's no one answer to that question.  As such, we have to strike an arbitrary balance between these two aspects of a player's career, something that seems right while bearing in mind we can never get it objectively right.

The Hall of Fame by Point Allocation system (HOFPA, or "Jimmy"), is made up of four parts:

1. The player's Total Points Allocated per Thousand Minutes (TPAK), for his senior-level career, times five.

2. The player's single-season best TPAK, times four.

3. The sum of the player's five best seasons by TPAK.

4. The player's career TPAK times his senior-level effective games played, divided by 120.

Add these up, and you get the HOFPA score. Let's have a look at the players whose careers were primarily in the 1890s to begin with, since we don't have any actual Hall-of-Famers from the 1880s. (The Hall? column indicates whether the player is currently in the Hall of Fame.)

1890s Players Meriting Induction
RankPlayerSeasonsPositionScoreHall?
1McDougall, Bob1894-1899798.2No
2Bain, Dan1895-1902586.4Yes
3Grant, Mike1894-1902281.1Yes
4Swift, Dolly1887-18994578.7No
5Young, Weldy1891-1899278.0No
6Routh, Havilland1892-1897477.6No
7McKerrow, Clare1896-1899476.5No
8Howard, Atty1891-19067276.0No

The player with the most notable career in the 1890s, by this method, is Montreal Victorias right winger Bob McDougall. Dan Bain and Mike Grant, who are both in the Hall, come next. They are good selections. The five remaining players on the above list should have been given good, long looks for the Hall, and should probably be in. (There is no realistic chance of them getting in now - the process for induction requires someone on the current committee to champion a player to even get them on the ballot, and no one really cares about players from this era anymore.)

All of the men mentioned here will get profiles on this site eventually. This post is just laying groundwork.

1890s Players Possibly Meriting Induction
RankPlayerSeasonsPositionScoreHall?
9Armytage, Jack1891-19014574.8No
10Trihey, Harry1898-1902573.2Yes
11Davidson, Cam1896-1900571.1No
12Russell, Herb1892-19026270.6No

Another 1890s Hall-of-Famer, Harry Trihey, is a maybe here. He's probably deserving, which means we should also include the Winnipeg Vics' Jack Armytage, who was essentially Dan Bain before there was a Dan Bain. I would personally draw the line below Trihey. This, of course, would exclude...

1890s Players Probably Not Meriting Induction

RankPlayerSeasonsPositionScoreHall?
13Drinkwater, Graham1893-1899468.1Yes
XFarrell, Art1897-1901758.9Yes

Drinkwater is certainly close enough that his selection is not a terrible one, seen through the lens of this method. Art Farrell, of course, wrote the first real hockey book (Hockey: Canada's Royal Winter Game), which I've quoted from frequently here. He played with Trihey on the mighty Shamrocks from the turn of the century, and his authorship made him a well-known name. Being a well-known name can often be enough to get you inducted when you played a long time ago, as we'll see as we get into later years.

So the Hall of Fame committee seems to have only produced one real false positive from the 1890s, but of course they also overlooked seven players who probably deserve the honour, including the single most outstanding player of the decade. They could have done much worse, but also so much better.

Now we can go back into the 1880s. As it turns out, there are really only three players from that decade to have the value and consistency required to rank highly by this system. They should be familiar names to regular readers by now:

1880s Players Meriting Induction
RankPlayerSeasonsPositionScoreHall?
1Stewart, James1884-1894186.4No
2Cameron, Allan1885-1895286.1No
3Paton, Tom1885-1893G84.5No

We've discussed each of Stewart, Cameron and Paton before. It seems you can add "should-be Hall-of-Famers" to their resumes.

1880s Players Possibly Meriting Induction
RankPlayerSeasonsPositionScoreHall?
4Arnton, Jack1884-18901964.9No
5Campbell, Jack1885-1891262.3No
6Hodgson, Billy1885-1888955.9No

We've also talked about Jack Campbell. Although he had a very high peak value, said peak was very short, too short to merit real consideration for the Hall of Fame. These players are so far behind the three Winged Wheelers mentioned above that that triumvirate are the only deserving men from the 1880s.

In coming posts we'll look at the 1900s and 1910s in terms of Hall of Fame players as well. The committee did a better job with these later players, which makes a good deal of sense when you're relying solely on personal knowledge of the players involved.

Monday, 12 December 2011

The AAA's Defence

Previously I've written a bit about the Big Three on defence for the Montreal Winged Wheelers of the 1880s and early 1890s, a defensively dominant team: goaltender Tom Paton, point James Stewart and cover-point Allan Cameron. We know that Paton excelled not only at stopping the puck but especially at clearing it after a save; we known that Cameron was noted both for his transition game and his aggressive defence; and we know that while Stewart was less celebrated than the other two, he was still known as a top defender. However, we also saw a quote which called Stewart out for leaving his position in front of the goal too much, for not playing as a point should.

But it doesn't make much sense that this team, with a point that played out of position so often, would be able to prevent goals as well as they did. The point was the second-most important defensive position on the ice, and if he abandoned his position so much, that would cost his team goals. Unless, of course, leaving his post actually helped his team keep the puck out of the net...

I believe that Stewart's aggressiveness, relative to how the point position was "supposed" to be played at the time, was in fact a tactical choice, and one that was very effective. Cameron was known to challenge opponents, instead of waiting for them to come to him, and I suggest that Stewart did the same to great effect. This is from a game report in the March 8, 1892 edition of the Montreal Gazette:
Paton had many stops to make, nevertheless, but they were of the free and easy order and he cleverly drove the puck out of his territory. Stewart and Cameron swooped around after the puck in admirable style.
So both Cameron and Stewart went after the enemy puck-carriers (something points especially were not really expected to do). They did not play passively, allowing the opponents time to enter the zone and set up a combination play. I believe this is one of the main reasons the Winged Wheelers were so good at preventing goals: Cameron and Stewart were able to play aggressively, stripping the puck from opponents before they could make a play. Not everyone could do this, of course; you'd need the instincts and ability to pull it off.

This style of play, done effectively, was especially beneficial in the era that Stewart and Cameron played in. Why? Because there was no forward passing. When making an offensive rush, you had to stay behind the puck carrier to be eligible to receive a pass. So rushes were akin to what you see in rugby, with a line of forwards skating ahead. This is why the point played behind the cover-point rather than side-by-side like modern blueliners do; opponents came in using individual rushes, because they were not allowed to pass the puck ahead.

I believe this is also what allowed Cameron and Stewart to be so effective by being aggressive. If you challenged an enemy puck carrier, you were not in as much danger of getting into a bad position as you would be in the modern game, because if the opponent passed the puck before you get to him, he could at best do it laterally, and it will often be behind him. As such, if you could read the play quickly enough (which Cameron and Stewart surely could), when the opponent passed the puck you were be able to adjust your trajectory to intercept that player instead, because he simply could not be behind you.

As such, I think Cameron and especially Stewart were simply ahead of their time, realizing the advantage on defence that playing aggressively could bring. While some other defences waiting for puck carriers to come to them, the Winged Wheelers focused on stopping the opponents advances as soon as they could. And this is one reason they were so very good at keeping the puck out of the net.
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